Notes on 2019 Coronavirus, v2

first step to fight corona

SARS-CoV-2 (Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) is the virus. COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019) is the disease.

There are about 7.6 billion people on the planet.
United States Census Bureau https://www.census.gov/popclock/world

John Hopkins University hosts a map with coronavirus COVID-19 data.
At April, 12th, 2020, 10:18am there were, worldwide:
1,781,127 confirmed cases
108,994 deaths
405,243 recovered
John Hopkins University https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

The US population is about 329 million.
United States Census Bureau https://www.census.gov/popclock/world

2019-2020 U.S. Flu Season: Preliminary Burden Estimates
CDC estimates from October 1, 2019 to April 4, 2020 there have been:
39,000,000 – 56,000,000 flu illnesses
18,000,000 – 26,000,000 flu medical visits
410,000 – 740,000 flu hospitalizations
24,000 – 62,000 flu deaths
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm

Symptoms

Influenza:

fever or feverish
cough
sore throat
runny or stuffy nose
muscle or body aches
headaches
fatigue
sometimes vomiting and diarrhea (more common in children than adults)
Most people recover in a few days to two weeks.
Often comes on suddenly.
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/flu/symptoms/symptoms.htm

COVID-19:

fever
cough
shortness of breath
Mild to severe.
Appears 2-14 days after exposure, based on MERS-CoV.
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html

Often forgotten: loss of smell or taste.
Mindy Weisberger – Senior Writer, Live Science https://www.livescience.com/covid-19-symptoms-loss-smell-taste.html
Dr Jack Kruse https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFJ3uHX1qzA

“In general, the clinical presentation has involved fever in 83% to 98% of patients, dry cough in 76% to 82%, and fatigue or myalgias in 11% to 44%. Other symptoms have been reported, such as headache, sore throat, abdominal pain, and diarrhea.”
JAMA, February 28, 2020: COVID-19—New Insights on a Rapidly Changing Epidemic https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762510

“All COVID-19 cases reported through February 11, 2020 were extracted from China’s Infectious Disease Information System. … 44,672 (61.8%) confirmed cases … Among confirmed cases, most were aged 30–79 years (86.6%), diagnosed in Hubei (74.7%), and considered mild (80.9%). A total of 1,023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case fatality rate of 2.3%.”
China CDC, February, 2020: Vital Surveillances: The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020 http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51

Death Rate

Yearly death rate of the flu is maximum 0.1%, every winter.
How Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg sees the current Corona pandemic. Published on Mar 13, 2020. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_AyuhbnPOI

“A total of 1,023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case fatality rate of 2.3%.”
Variance by region: “patients in Hubei Province had a >7-fold higher case fatality rate at 2.9% compared to patients in other provinces (0.4%)”
China CDC, February, 2020: Vital Surveillances: The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020 http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51

“1.4% who died”
New England Journal of Medicine, February 28, 2020: Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032

“Current estimates about the Covid-19 fatality rate may be too high by orders of magnitude.”
“A universal quarantine may not be worth the costs it imposes on the economy, community and individual mental and physical health. We should undertake immediate steps to evaluate the empirical basis of the current lockdowns.”
Dr. Bendavid and Dr. Bhattacharya are professors of medicine at Stanford. Neeraj Sood contributed to this article. Wall Street Journal: Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say? https://archive.fo/j8FFk

The numbers of the John Hopkins map suggest a death rate of about 6%.
John Hopkins University https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

Death rate numbers are totally suspect. Death rate as calculated from the John Hopkins map is slowly increasing. Measuring and reporting in the US is suspect, as is evident from the ICD code memo.

disease deaths per day worldwide
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/

“allowing them to calculate a COVID-19 infection fatality rate of about 0.37 percent” a preliminary result
Ronald Bailey, reason.com, April 9, 2020 https://reason.com/2020/04/09/preliminary-german-study-shows-a-covid-19-infection-fatality-rate-of-about-0-4-percent/

Transmission

To determine how easily a virus spreads is known as the “basic reproduction number” or R0 (R-nought): an estimate of the average number of people who catch the virus from a single infected person. R0 is not necessarily a constant number: varians by location, depending on factors as how often people come into contact with each other and the efforts taken to reduce viral spread.

“although still preliminary, is estimated between 2 and 3, suggesting a higher pandemic potential than SARS.”
JAMA, February 28, 2020: COVID-19—New Insights on a Rapidly Changing Epidemic https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762510

“on average, about 8% of the U.S. population gets sick from flu each season, with a range of between 3% and 11%, depending on the season”
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/keyfacts.htm

Epidemics & Pandemics

Seasonal flu’s are not to be confused with pandemic flu’s, or a global outbreak of a new flu virus that is very different from the strains that typically circulate.

“The most recent flu pandemic, for example, was caused by a flu virus that hopped from pigs to humans in 2009. Commonly known as the swine flu, that pandemic killed more than 200,000 people. The devastating 1918 flu pandemic, which killed 30 million to 50 million people worldwide, had its roots in birds.”
Yasemin Saplakoglu Live Science https://www.livescience.com/64992-how-flu-becomes-pandemic.html

“These final estimates were that from April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010 approximately 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 hospitalizations (195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (8868-18,306) occurred in the United States due to pH1N1.”
“The H1N1 virus that caused that pandemic is now a regular human flu virus and continues to circulate seasonally worldwide.”
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htm

Pneuamonia
COVID-19 is the weakest of the seven serious flus and diseases (West Nile, SARS, Bird flu, Swine flu, Ebola, and Zika) we have had since 2002. So far, as mentioned above, it is even less deadly – by one-half – than the ordinary seasonal flu.”
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/

DeadliestPandemics
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/history-of-pandemics-deadliest/

Using the world population number and the (totally suspect) confirmed cases number of the John Hopkins map, about 0.023% of the world population is infected. About 0,0014% of the world population (supposedly) died of the virus. Limitations apply.

Power Laws, or Exponential Growth

An Indian king liked to play chess. He invited visitors to play against him. One day a visitor accepted. The king offered any reward if he won. The king lost and the visitor won. The visitor modestly asked for a bit of rice. The king was to give rice in this manner: put one piece of rice on the first square of the chessboard and double it for every subsequent square until the last square was reached. The initial squares go like this: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16… Modest in the beginning. The final square holds over 18,000,000,000,000,000,000 grains of rice, or about 210 billion tons.

More than the annual worldwide rice production by orders of magnitude. In 2014, 741.5 million tonnes. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rice

Every new square requires more rice than everything that came before combined. Or, everything that was produced in all of history (in this case the previous squares) and more, now needs to be produced on the new square.

For more, and more examples, eg coal, bacteria, and population growth: Arithmetic, Population and Energy; a lecture by Dr. Albert A. Bartlett https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZCm2QQZVYk

Infection rates follow power laws.

Prevention & Treatment

CDC recommendations to prevent spread are generally same for coronaviruses and flu viruses:
wash hands with soap and water for at least 20 seconds
avoid touching eyes, nose, mouth with unwashed hands
stay away from sick people
stay away from work when sick
clean and disinfect frequently touched objects and surfaces
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-sick/prevention.html

This is basic hygiene and hygiene courtesy. Other measures are now in effect in many places, like “lockdown” or “social distancing”.

“According to Dr. Andrew Saul, the first approved study of IV Vitamin C against COVID-19 began in China and had patients taking 12,000 to 24,000 mg per day of Vitamin C by IV. The supervising doctor, Dr. Cheng, has specifically called for the immediate, therapeutic use of Vitamin C for treating coronavirus (COVID-19) infections. Those patients have all done very well.

A second and third clinical trial of intravenous Vitamin C was announced in China on February 13th and 21st, respectively. In the second study, Dr. Cheng reports that the researchers will give 6,000 mg/day and 12,000 mg/day for moderate and severe cases and that oral Vitamin C might even be included in these studies. Details of the Wuhan Vitamin-C protocol (in English) are posted at: www.orthomolecular.org/resources/omns/v16n07.shtml.”
“Moreover, with the Northern Hemisphere warming up almost day by day, go outside and soak up some Sun. If you are in the right latitude, the Vitamin D you will create in your body from the Sun’s ultraviolet rays will help protect you. And if you are not, then both the ultraviolet light in tanning beds and the heat in Far Infrared saunas can be helpful as well in taming the coronavirus.”
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/

It’s just raining wins for sunlight.

Isolation

Who is measuring the effect of isolation? Who is tracking depression and suicide in these times?

Will the long-term health cost be worse? Who will pay for that? Will healthcare improve after this? I’ve heard about doctors and nurses getting fired. I’ve heard departments of doctors and nurses with nothing to do. Some, politicians for example, will claim that it is the isolation tactics that worked so well, or else it would have been much worse. As isolation is country/state wide, there is no control there. For this we have to look between countries, which has limitations. In the case of the US, some states have quarantine, others don’t. A comparison can be made there. Sweden, for example, is going for herd immunity. Belgium, for example, is quarantining. Sweden isn’t worse of. Sweden has 10,151 confirmed cases and 887 deaths (according to John Hopkins map). Belgium has 28,018 confirmed cases and 3,346 deaths. Again, how is the testing done?

“Public health leaders have focused on trying in vain to prevent the spread of the virus. They have not looked at the ramifications of suicide rates when people are forced to be sequestered for this length of time. Also lost are the mental and physical consequences of this huge hit to our economy. Have any of these experts even remotely factored in the economic damage to our healthcare system from the loss of jobs and businesses in the United States? It certainly does not seem to be. No country can adequately fight an enemy like an infectious disease without a working economy.”

“One way to look at this would be to compare the COVID-19 deaths in states that do and do not have stay-at-home orders in place.  Although these comparisons have their limitations, nonetheless, the statistics speak for themselves and can be used to assess the effectiveness of a lockdown policy.”

“As of April 5, 2020 Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

stateslo

Now let’s compare states that have a lockdown order compared with a neighboring state that does not:

stateslob

Not only does the above data show that lockdowns are having no impact, but continued restrictions of residents raises the risk of increased suicide, drug abuse, domestic violence, and civil unrest, among other issues.

Please also note the following statistics when looking at deaths from Coronavirus:

avg-cdc
Martin Dubravec, MD, Association of American Physicians and Surgeons https://aapsonline.org/coronavirus-covid-19-public-health-apocalypse-or-anti-american/

Immunity

“Both human and animal studies report large immunological changes with exposure to environmental levels of electromagnetic fields (EMFs). Some of these exposure levels are equivalent to those of e.g. wireless technologies in daily life.”
“It is possible that chronic provocation by exposure to EMF can lead to immune dysfunction, chronic allergic responses, inflammatory responses and ill health if they occur on a continuing basis over time. This is an important area for future research.”
“Specific findings from studies on exposures to various types of modern equipment and/or EMFs report over-reaction of the immune system; morphological alterations of immune cells; profound increases in mast cells in the upper skin layers, increased degranulation of mast cells and larger size of mast cells in electrohypersensitive individuals; presence of biological markers for inflammation that are sensitive to EMF exposure at non-thermal levels; changes in lymphocyte viability; decreased count of NK cells; decreased count of T lymphocytes; negative effects on pregnancy (uteroplacental circulatory disturbances and placental dysfunction with possible risks to pregnancy); suppressed or impaired immune function; and inflammatory responses which can ultimately result in cellular, tissue and organ damage.”
“The current international public safety limits for EMFs do not appear to be sufficiently protective of public health at all”
BioInitiative Report 2012, Section 8: Evidence For Effects On Immune Function https://bioinitiative.org/table-of-contents/#539969aa4eade622a

Electricity and life. Negative effects on animals, like bees, and on humans, like heart disease, cancer and diabetes.
“The Invisible Rainbow” by Arthur Firstenberg

Human immunity is weakened by our electrical lives. Viruses are harder to handle.

Wuhan was the first fully 5G city. New York has 5G. Are we seeing disproportionally more cases there? Another reason for the lack of cases in Africa?

“This is why the concept of herd immunity is so important. With herd immunity, significant amounts of the population will have exposure to the virus and become immune to it. They are no longer able to spread the virus as their immune systems kill the virus before it has a chance to grow and multiply. That individual then becomes not a source of viral spread but a source of killing the virus. The virus has nowhere to go and it disappears.”
“Our current strategy is actually leading to a prolonged COVID-19 season! Herd immunity works and despite our current efforts to mess it up, herd immunity will be the ultimate reason the virus dies down. We should promote the concept, not try to stop it.”
“Media pundits falsely railed against college students spending spring break on the beaches of Florida. Wild behavior aside, these partiers represent the most effective approach to stopping the spread of the virus, i.e., sunlight and herd immunity of the young and healthy.”
Martin Dubravec, MD, Association of American Physicians and Surgeons https://aapsonline.org/coronavirus-covid-19-public-health-apocalypse-or-anti-american/

“sunlight and herd immunity of the young and healthy” Boom! Also see the section on the sun for more on this wonderful advice.

If the young and healthy don’t leverage the sun and herd immunity now, will they be the old, unhealthy, susceptible when they are old? More healthcare crisis for the future?

Viruses

Activation of the Epstein-Barr virus genome in latently infected human lymphoid cells by 50 Hz electromagnetic fields. “Exposure of Akata cells, a human lymphoid cell line latently infected by the EBV genome, to a 50 Hz EMF resulted in an increased number of cells expressing the virus early antigens. This finding provides additional evidence that DNA can be modulated by a magnetic field.”
J Environ Pathol Toxicol Oncol. 1997;16(2-3):205-7: Exposure to a 50 Hz electromagnetic field induces activation of the Epstein-Barr virus genome in latently infected human lymphoid cells https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9276003

The electric power grid in Europe cycles at 50 Hz. Weakened immune system, activation of virus… Sounds like a bad combination.

About 100 different types of viruses change constantly. Acute respiratory diseases: normally 7-15% of viruses are coronaviruses. In Wuhan there is the biggest safety lab for viruses in whole China. New virus discovered in Wuhan. Data is uploaded to a database. Database is accessible worldwide. In Berlin, try to develop test to measure new coronavirus. Mr. Drosten sends protocol to WHO. Test was quickly accepted. Normally a test is a medical procedure and must go through rigorous test. What does it really say? What does it measure? Is inhouse-test of Charite clinic. There were no validated tests and panic arose. Decision to just use test everywhere. Virologist can’t say if virus is dangerous. Can only detect it, see if it is different from others. Need observational data. Can look to previous years, look to mortality rate of people died of virus. While looking to specific virus, eg coronavirus, can look at total population. Occurrence in total population is about 8-10% of a virus that makes them sick. If look to medical practices, will find more cases. If look to hospitals, will find more cases. Which section of population looked at, expect to find 7-15% coronavirus every time a test is done. Can not say if died of coronavirus or if died of something else and happened to have coronavirus. Eg look at testing in Italy, where were they taken and how used? If look at terminal cases, then corona death rate rise. Just because it looked like it. Yearly death rate of the flu is maximum 0.1%, every winter. In Germany, 2000-3000 deaths of people dying of flu, but happen to have coronavirus, is to be expected. Far of at time of video. Hype created in China. Face recognition installed, thermometers controlled traffic on Chinese streets. International consequences. Hard for critics to say that nothing is wrong. The emperor is naked. What is missing is a rational way to look at things. How have you found out that the virus is dangerous? How was it before? Did we have the same thing last year? Is it something new?
How Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg sees the current Corona pandemic. Published on Mar 13, 2020. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_AyuhbnPOI

Limitations

Problems with data collection and testing.

“the rules for coding and selection of the underlying cause of death are expected to result in COVID-19 being the underlying cause more often than not.”
“COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death.”
Center for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/coronavirus/Alert-2-New-ICD-code-introduced-for-COVID-19-deaths.pdf
Alex Berenson https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1246124190438227974

Coding for COVID-deaths is suspect: “expected to result in” and “assumed to have caused or contributed to death “. Other conditions like COPD (a respiratory condition) are considered secondary. Confirmed lab tests are not required.

See also Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg video: Where are tests taken? What are the conditions? How does the test work?

a report from Italy’s National Institute of Health shows that up to 88% of Italy’s alleged COVID-19 deaths could be misattributed. The Report states, “the way in which we code deaths in our country is very generous in the sense that all the people who die in hospitals with the coronavirus are deemed to be dying of the coronavirus … On re-evaluation by the National Institute of Health, only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity – many had two or three.””
“The National Health Federation’s Chairman, David Noakes, agrees, “Today on the 27th of March there are a total of a tiny 759 deaths [in the UK] from COVID-19 – but even this is a lie. These are people who died with COVID-19, but most did not die of it. Almost everyone had other diseases that caused their death.”

German virologist Dr. Hendrik Streeck supports Noakes when he said that COVID-19 is unlikely to increase overall mortality in Germany, which is normally at 2,500 people per day. Streeck cites an example of a 78-year-old man who died of heart failure, but who was subsequently tested positive for the virus and thus included in the COVID-19 death statistics! This example is backed by the Director of the German Public Health Institute (the Robert Koch Institute or RKI), who admitted that all deaths in which a person also tests positive for the coronavirus are counted as COVID-19 deaths, even if those persons actually died from another cause.”
“Besides, the so-called COVID-19 test is faulty with many false positives. False positives for the COVID-19 coronavirus can be up to 50%. Others say up to 75%. This is because the current standard PCR test only looks at an array of antibodies and not for a virus specifically. Many of the antibodies screened for in the positive “check-off” list are common to other influenza virus strains. If enough check-marks appear on the list, then the doctors call it a positive result. So, naturally any antibodies that show up post-immunization from a vaccine made up of inert influenza strains will show a positive result. Recall that Italy had mandatory vaccinations prior to the COVID-19 outbreak. This would definitely skew results, especially the death toll.

Noakes also aptly observed that “There is no agreed test for Covid-19. The usual one is a PCR test for pneumonia. If you have it, they now reclassify it as COVID-19. They may reclassify all of this year’s 17,000 flu deaths as COVID-19 deaths. The science stinks.””
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/

The Sun

“As the current crisis unfolds, governments are enforcing quarantine and isolation, and public gatherings are being discouraged. Health officials took the same approach 100 years ago, when influenza was spreading around the world. The results were mixed.”
“Put simply, medics found that severely ill flu patients nursed outdoors recovered better than those treated indoors.”
“Research shows that outdoor air is a natural disinfectant. Fresh air can kill the flu virus and other harmful germs. Equally, sunlight is germicidal and there is now evidence it can kill the flu virus.”
“As with the current Covid-19 outbreak, most of the victims of so-called `Spanish flu’ did not die from influenza: they died of pneumonia and other complications.”
“Open-air therapy, as it was known, was widely used on casualties from the Western Front. And it became the treatment of choice for another common and often deadly respiratory infection of the time; tuberculosis. … The open-air regimen remained popular until antibiotics replaced it in the 1950s.”
“But by the time the scientists made their discoveries, antibiotic therapy had replaced open-air treatment. Since then the germicidal effects of fresh air have not featured in infection control, or hospital design. Yet harmful bacteria have become increasingly resistant to antibiotics.”
“During the First World War, military surgeons routinely used sunlight to heal infected wounds.[9] They knew it was a disinfectant. What they didn’t know is that one advantage of placing patients outside in the sun is they can synthesise vitamin D in their skin … ow vitamin D levels are now linked to respiratory infections and may increase susceptibility to influenza.[10] Also, our body’s biological rhythms appear to influence how we resist infections.[11] New research suggests they can alter our inflammatory response to the flu virus.[12]”
Dr. Richard Hobday is an independent researcher working in the fields of infection control, public health and building design. He is the author of `The Healing Sun’.
Published on March 10th. Coronavirus and the Sun: a Lesson from the 1918 Influenza Pandemic https://medium.com/@ra.hobday/coronavirus-and-the-sun-a-lesson-from-the-1918-influenza-pandemic-509151dc8065

Experts ask why there are few cases in Africa. Bad reporting is not suspected. Isolation is offered as an explanation. From the above article of Dr. Richard Hobday, we can paint a different angle. Guess the strong sunlight has something to do with it? How much clothing do they wear or how much time do they spend indoors, where they can’t make vitamin D?
Published February 27th. Virus enigma: Experts ask why Africa seems to have few cases https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-02-virus-enigma-experts-africa-cases.html

Experts

Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi (https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sucharit_Bhakdi) is a specialist in microbiology and infectionepidemiology. He was a professor at the Johannes Gutenberg University in Mainz and head of the Institute for Medical Microbiology and Hygiene and one of the most cited research scientists in German history.

“We are afraid that 1 million infections with the new virus will lead to 30 deaths per day over the next 100 days. But we do not realise that 20, 30, 40 or 100 patients positive for normal coronaviruses are already dying every day.

[The government’s anti-COVID19 measures] are grotesque, absurd and very dangerous […] The life expectancy of millions is being shortened. The horrifying impact on the world economy threatens the existence of countless people. The consequences on medical care are profound. Already services to patients in need are reduced, operations cancelled, practices empty, hospital personnel dwindling. All this will impact profoundly on our whole society.

All these measures are leading to self-destruction and collective suicide based on nothing but a spook.”

– [https://youtu.be/JBB9bA-gXL4]

Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wolfgang_Wodarg) is a German physician specialising in pulmonology, politician and former chairman of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe. In 2009 he called for an inquiry into alleged conflicts of interest surrounding the EU response to the Swine Flu pandemic.

“Politicians are being courted by scientists…scientists who want to be important to get money for their institutions. Scientists who just swim along in the mainstream and want their part of it […] And what is missing right now is a rational way of looking at things.

We should be asking questions like “How did you find out this virus was dangerous?”, “How was it before?”, “Didn’t we have the same thing last year?”, “Is it even something new?”

That’s missing.”

– [https://youtu.be/p_AyuhbnPOI]

Dr. Joel Kettner (http://umanitoba.ca/faculties/health_sciences/medicine/units/chs/faculty_and_staff/fac_kettner.html) is professor of Community Health Sciences and Surgery at Manitoba University, former Chief Public Health Officer for Manitoba province and Medical Director of the International Centre for Infectious Diseases.

“I have never seen anything like this, anything anywhere near like this. I’m not talking about the pandemic, because I’ve seen 30 of them, one every year. It is called influenza. And other respiratory illness viruses, we don’t always know what they are. But I’ve never seen this reaction, and I’m trying to understand why.

[…]

I worry about the message to the public, about the fear of coming into contact with people, being in the same space as people, shaking their hands, having meetings with people. I worry about many, many consequences related to that.

[…]

In Hubei, in the province of Hubei, where there has been the most cases and deaths by far, the actual number of cases reported is 1 per 1000 people and the actual rate of deaths reported is 1 per 20,000. So maybe that would help to put things into perspective.”

– [https://off-guardian.org/2020/03/17/listen-cbc-radio-cuts-off-expert-when-he-questions-covid19-narrative/]

Dr. John Ioannidis (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis) Professor of Medicine, of Health Research and Policy and of Biomedical Data Science, at Stanford University School of Medicine and a Professor of Statistics at Stanford University School of Humanities and Sciences. He is director of the Stanford Prevention Research Center, and co-director of the Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS). He is also the editor-in-chief of the European Journal of Clinical Investigation. He was chairman at the Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine as well as adjunct professor at Tufts University School of Medicine. As a physician, scientist and author he has made contributions to evidence-based medicine, epidemiology, data science and clinical research. In addition, he pioneered the field of meta-research. He has shown that much of the published research does not meet good scientific standards of evidence.

“Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes. As most health systems have limited testing capacity, selection bias may even worsen in the near future.

The one situation where an entire, closed population was tested was the Diamond Princess cruise ship and its quarantine passengers. The case fatality rate there was 1.0%, but this was a largely elderly population, in which the death rate from Covid-19 is much higher.

[…]

Could the Covid-19 case fatality rate be that low? No, some say, pointing to the high rate in elderly people. However, even some so-called mild or common-cold-type coronaviruses that have been known for decades can have case fatality rates as high as 8% when they infect elderly people in nursing homes.

[…]

If we had not known about a new virus out there, and had not checked individuals with PCR tests, the number of total deaths due to “influenza-like illness” would not seem unusual this year. At most, we might have casually noted that flu this season seems to be a bit worse than average.”

– “A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data”, Stat News, 17th March 2020 [https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/]

Dr. Yoram Lass (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yoram_Lass) is an Israeli physician, politician and former Director General of the Health Ministry. He also worked as Associate Dean of the Tel Aviv University Medical School and during the 1980s presented the science-based television show Tatzpit.

“Italy is known for its enormous morbidity in respiratory problems, more than three times any other European country. In the US about 40,000 people die in a regular flu season and so far 40-50 people have died of the coronavirus, most of them in a nursing home in Kirkland, Washington.

[…]

In every country, more people die from regular flu compared with those who die from the coronavirus.

[…]

…there is a very good example that we all forget: the swine flu in 2009. That was a virus that reached the world from Mexico and until today there is no vaccination against it. But what? At that time there was no Facebook or there maybe was but it was still in its infancy. The coronavirus, in contrast, is a virus with public relations.

Whoever thinks that governments end viruses is wrong.”

– Interview in Globes, March 22nd 2020 [https://en.globes.co.il/en/article-lockdown-lunacy-1001322696]

Dr. Pietro Vernazza (https://twitter.com/pietrovernazza?lang=en) is a Swiss physician specialising Infectious Diseases at the Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen and Professor of Health Policy.

“We have reliable figures from Italy and a work by epidemiologists, which has been published in the renowned science journal ‹Science›, which examined the spread in China. This makes it clear that around 85 percent of all infections have occurred without anyone noticing the infection. 90 percent of the deceased patients are verifiably over 70 years old, 50 percent over 80 years.

[…]

In Italy, one in ten people diagnosed die, according to the findings of the Science publication, that is statistically one of every 1,000 people infected. Each individual case is tragic, but often – similar to the flu season – it affects people who are at the end of their lives.

[…]

If we close the schools, we will prevent the children from quickly becoming immune.

[…]

We should better integrate the scientific facts into the political decisions.”

– Interview in St. Galler Tagblatt, 22nd March 2020

Frank Ulrich Montgomery (https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Ulrich_Montgomery) is German radiologist, former President of the German Medical Association and Deputy Chairman of the World Medical Association.

“I’m not a fan of lockdown. Anyone who imposes something like this must also say when and how to pick it up again. Since we have to assume that the virus will be with us for a long time, I wonder when we will return to normal? You can’t keep schools and daycare centers closed until the end of the year. Because it will take at least that long until we have a vaccine. Italy has imposed a lockdown and has the opposite effect. They quickly reached their capacity limits, but did not slow down the virus spread within the lockdown.”

– Interview in General Anzeiger, 18th March 2020 [https://www.general-anzeiger-bonn.de/news/politik/deutschland/interview-mit-weltaerztepraesident-montgomery-ueber-corona-pandemie-ist-chaos_aid-49609561]

Prof. Hendrik Streeck (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hendrik_Streeck) is a German HIV researcher, epidemiologist and clinical trialist. He is professor of virology, and the director of the Institute of Virology and HIV Research, at Bonn University.

“The new pathogen is not that dangerous, it is even less dangerous than Sars-1. The special thing is that Sars-CoV-2 replicates in the upper throat area and is therefore much more infectious because the virus jumps from throat to throat, so to speak. But that is also an advantage: Because Sars-1 replicates in the deep lungs, it is not so infectious, but it definitely gets on the lungs, which makes it more dangerous.

[…]

You also have to take into account that the Sars-CoV-2 deaths in Germany were exclusively old people. In Heinsberg, for example, a 78-year-old man with previous illnesses died of heart failure, and that without Sars-2 lung involvement. Since he was infected, he naturally appears in the Covid 19 statistics. But the question is whether he would not have died anyway, even without Sars-2.”

– Interview in Frankfurter Allgemeine, 16th March 2020 [https://www.faz.net/aktuell/gesellschaft/gesundheit/coronavirus/neue-corona-symptome-entdeckt-virologe-hendrik-streeck-zum-virus-16681450.html?printPagedArticle=true#pageIndex_2]

Dr. Yanis Roussel et. al. (https://twitter.com/yanisjgr?lang=en) A team of researchers from the Institut Hospitalo-universitaire Méditerranée Infection, Marseille and the Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, conducting a peer-reviewed study on Coronavirus mortality for the government of France under the ‘Investments for the Future’ programme.

“The problem of SARS-CoV-2 is probably overestimated, as 2.6 million people die of respiratory infections each year compared with less than 4000 deaths for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of writing.

[…]

This study compared the mortality rate of SARS-CoV-2 in OECD countries (1.3%) with the mortality rate of common coronaviruses identified in AP-HM patients (0.8%) from 1 January 2013 to 2 March 2020. Chi-squared test was performed, and the P-value was 0.11 (not significant).

[…]

…it should be noted that systematic studies of other coronaviruses (but not yet for SARS-CoV-2) have found that the percentage of asymptomatic carriers is equal to or even higher than the percentage of symptomatic patients. The same data for SARS-CoV-2 may soon be available, which will further reduce the relative risk associated with this specific pathology.”

– “SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data”, International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents, 19th March 2020 [https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920300972#%21]

Dr. David Katz (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_L._Katz) is an American physician and founding director of the Yale University Prevention Research Center.

“I am deeply concerned that the social, economic and public health consequences of this near-total meltdown of normal life — schools and businesses closed, gatherings banned — will be long-lasting and calamitous, possibly graver than the direct toll of the virus itself. The stock market will bounce back in time, but many businesses never will. The unemployment, impoverishment and despair likely to result will be public health scourges of the first order.”

– “Is Our Fight Against Coronavirus Worse Than the Disease?”, New York Times, 20th March 2020 [https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/opinion/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing.html]

Michael T. Osterholm (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Osterholm) is regents professor and director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota.

“Consider the effect of shutting down offices, schools, transportation systems, restaurants, hotels, stores, theaters, concert halls, sporting events and other venues indefinitely and leaving all of their workers unemployed and on the public dole. The likely result would be not just a depression but a complete economic breakdown, with countless permanently lost jobs, long before a vaccine is ready or natural immunity takes hold.

[…]

[T]he best alternative will probably entail letting those at low risk for serious disease continue to work, keep business and manufacturing operating, and “run” society, while at the same time advising higher-risk individuals to protect themselves through physical distancing and ramping up our health-care capacity as aggressively as possible. With this battle plan, we could gradually build up immunity without destroying the financial structure on which our lives are based.”

– “Facing covid-19 reality: A national lockdown is no cure”, Washington Post, 21st March 2020 [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/03/21/facing-covid-19-reality-national-lockdown-is-no-cure/]

Dr. Peter Goetzsche (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_C._Gøtzsche) is Professor of Clinical Research Design and Analysis at the University of Copenhagen and founder of the Cochrane Medical Collaboration. He has written several books on corruption in the field of medicine and the power of big pharmaceutical companies.

“Our main problem is that no one will ever get in trouble for measures that are too draconian. They will only get in trouble if they do too little. So, our politicians and those working with public health do much more than they should do.

No such draconian measures were applied during the 2009 influenza pandemic, and they obviously cannot be applied every winter, which is all year round, as it is always winter somewhere. We cannot close down the whole world permanently.

Should it turn out that the epidemic wanes before long, there will be a queue of people wanting to take credit for this. And we can be damned sure draconian measures will be applied again next time. But remember the joke about tigers. “Why do you blow the horn?” “To keep the tigers away.” “But there are no tigers here.” “There you see!””

-“Corona: an epidemic of mass panic”, Deadly Medicines, 21st March 2020 [https://www.deadlymedicines.dk/corona-an-epidemic-of-mass-panic/]

“John P. A. Ioannidis, a Stanford University Medical School professor of medicine and epidemiology, has reasonably argued that we are making decisions without reasonable data, so it is impossible to make claims about any fatality rate, actual or future. Dr. Ioannidis thinks that when the dust settles and an accurate count is made the true mortality rate for COVID-19 could be five times lower, coming in at 0.025% or maybe 0.625% but certainly not the alarmist WHO figure of 3.4%. “Patients,” he writes, “who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes. As most health systems have limited testing capacity, selection bias may even worsen in the near future.”

Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, another Stanford University professor of medicine, concurs when he says, as quoted in The Wall Street Journal, “An epidemic seed on January 1st implies that by March 9 about six million people in the U.S. would have been infected. As of March 23 … there were 499 Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. … that’s a mortality rate of 0.01%.” He laments the fact that there have been no studies done to accurately assess the actual Measured Case Fatality Rate.
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/

Liberties

“Many are more concerned with what is happening to American society than what the virus will do to us medically. Bad government policies are leading to economic destruction, possibly on a scale not ever seen in our country. This is being imposed upon us. State governors seem almost in a race to see who can cause the most dramatic removal of basic constitutional liberties. Some states have police officers pulling people over to quiz them where they are going. Some businesses have printed papers that their employees carry to show they are going to work in an essential business. All of this is reminiscent of Nazi and communist state control of people. It seems to be working; with their willing accomplices in the media, Americans at this time are seemingly eager to exchange their freedom for what they believe to be security and safety. What they don’t realize is if this is allowed to continue, they will lose their security, safety and their freedom.

What will happen with the next epidemic? Will we do this for the next outbreak of flu? Or Strep? Or drug overdoses? What type of precedent will this set?

Federal and state leaders are using bad public health policy to promote even worse regulation. Several have remarked that this epidemic offers those who wish to subdue the population an excellent way to see what works and how long it takes to corral people into almost total submission; it’s taking about a month.”
Martin Dubravec, MD, Association of American Physicians and Surgeons https://aapsonline.org/coronavirus-covid-19-public-health-apocalypse-or-anti-american/

“Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety.” – Benjamin Franklin, in “Reply to the Governor”, 1755.

“We are being taken for fools with this latest exaggeration. Worse than that, we are being completely sold down the river towards slavery with the loss of not only our health freedoms but our political freedoms as well … all based upon a lie.”
“The 1918 experiment was certainly not the first or the last time that the U.S. government tested biological weapons on an unsuspecting American population. On September 20, 1950, a U.S. Navy ship off the California coast used a giant hose to spray a cloud of microbes into the air and into San Francisco’s fog bank. The military was testing how a biological weapon attack would affect the 800,000 residents of the city. This criminal lack of concern for the health of its own citizens and others has been shown time and again, with, for example, the U.S. Army giving smallpox-contaminated blankets to Native Americans, the unconscionable Tuskegee syphilis experiments on African-American males from 1932-1972, and the Ebola-vaccine experiments on West Africans.”
“These government actions show governments that ironically believe their own fear propaganda at best, while at a cynical worst, these governments are using the COVID-19 “pandemic” to mold the ruling institutions and society into a cold-hearted form that will benefit the Elite at the expense of all of us.”
“People forget that their governments are run by ordinary men and women who genuinely lack the insight (as well as market-feedback mechanisms) on what actions to take that will truly benefit the health of their citizens and who rely for their advice, unfortunately, on the very same medical doctors, institutions, and corporations who have become hugely wealthy off of the diseases and ill-health that are conveniently incurable by their methods of treatment. Often, their patients live on as their disease is “managed” (some would say “milked”) for all of the money that can be had from the disease. The patients are never cured.”
“So, with the government-ordered lockdowns, are we any safer from the virus? Perhaps in very small groups, but the CDC recently published a paper questioning lockdowns of larger groups of individuals, such as the already health-compromised homeless in recreation centers, which is what Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti has ordered. The CDC reports that Japanese data showed that coronavirus transmission was 18.7 times more likely indoors than outdoors. And as the public catches on to these lies, the rewriting of history to support lockdowns becomes more egregious.”
“But even with this primary or companion killer bacterium, the deaths from COVID-19, others say, are still at least ten times less than those being reported by government officials and the media. All of this noise makes one wonder if this entire crisis was deliberately staged, or deliberately mishandled.”
“I think, simply a cover to change our political institutions and culture, and to further restrict our freedoms. “Never let a crisis go to waste,” is the old psychopathic political saying, and it certainly applies here.”
“The real threat to us is not from the “virus” but from the governments and their corporate overlords who will come out on top when the dust from all of this “pandemic” settles. In mid-March 2020, the Danish Parliament passed a draconian law authorizing the government to test (with their inaccurate tests) anyone they want in Denmark in order to determine if they have been infected with the coronavirus and to even forcibly inject such persons with a vaccine (as yet, non-existent), all against their will and their rights. The law is set to expire in March 2021, but it has set a freedom-smashing precedent that the 95 Danish parliamentarians who voted for it should be ashamed of. Even more, they should all be voted out of office.”
“Gottlieb doesn’t mind violating the Nuremburg Code against lack of informed consent in medical procedures, as he wants to forcibly vaccinate everyone. He thinks a vaccine would take two years to deploy (2022), while medicines could be available as early as this Summer 2020. Meanwhile, the police state reigns in nearly full force on the fraudulent foundation of false statistics.”
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/

The rewriting of history:
“One of my readers had asked on social media when any forced quarantine had worked, and the only thing he got back was that it worked in St. Louis in 1918 during the Spanish (American) Flu. This seemed suspicious to me, so I decided to check this out, and found what looks to be a plotted universal propaganda campaign. When I searched this on Google, I got pages of current news stories by the likes of the New York Times, the CDC, National Geographic, CNBC, the Washington Post, and page after page of articles all written in the past few hours, days, or weeks by very suspect “news” organizations. The message written and expressed  was that taking away the rights of citizens and forced social distancing (in 1918?) saved lives, and was “worth it.” As stated, this lesson was the reason all should be quarantined today. Out of the 40 or 50 articles I perused, the message was the same. As always, a false and purposeful campaign is being waged to advance a state narrative meant to justify mass tyranny.”
Gary Barnett, LewRockwell.com, April 1, 2020 https://www.lewrockwell.com/political-theatre/media-deceit/

Vaccines

“The mainstream medical community, supported by the news media and government, would have you believe that the “Holy Grail” cure for COVID-19 lies in a magical vaccine. The reality is that any vaccine is a year distant from being put on the market; and any vaccine developed sooner than one year from now will be exceedingly dangerous and unproven. Regardless, in one year, the COVID-19 coronavirus will be history and any efficacious vaccine unnecessary. That does not, however, prevent the mainstream medical community from dangling the promise of a vaccine in front of the population’s eyes. Ignore that empty promise.

Also, ignore their invitations for you to “protect” yourself by getting the current flu shot. It will not protect you. In fact, hard evidence has shown that it will do the exact opposite! A recent study published in Vaccine, a prestigious, peer-reviewed medical journal, demonstrated that the influenza vaccination may increase the risk of infection from coronavirus by a significant 36% and from the human metapneumovirus by 51%.”
Scott C. Tips, NHF President, The National Health Federation https://thenhf.com/2020/04/04/never-has-so-little-done-so-much-harm-to-so-many/